I have several lenders that I trust & refer my clients to. I've worked with many, but I keep a handful that I know will always get the job done and treat my peeps with kindness and respect.
So much talk about the changing of the market. How much of a correction, when, interest rates, etc.
I definitely expect a correction. As inventory grows, prices don't escalate. Sellers get a bit anxious and price reductions are a plenty.
As interest rates climb, buyers get a bit timid.
Millennial buyers have never seen the interest rates over 5% in their adult lifetimes. They don't remember the adjustable 8.5% loans that we got excited over. They have no real knowledge of a 12% mortgage rate. Nor do they have the concept of a house costing only 27k or 70k, or a 2500 sq ft home in Valencia for 263k.
But, for today's blog, it's about now. Where the prices are likely going & the other half, where interest rates are apparently going as well.
The copy & paste below is from one of my preferred lenders. Just so you realize I'm not the only one talking about this future market happening .........
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Lately we’ve been getting quite a few questions regarding
the state of the market, and if we believe that values are going to drop
significantly.
While no one has a crystal ball, we’ve definitely seen a
shift from the seller’s market we were in for so long, to more of a buyer’s
market in latter part of 2018.
What we’ve also seen is a consistent rise in interest rates,
that when combined with rising prices, and concerns of a correction, have made
for nervous prospective buyers!
While no one can guarantee the direction of home values (or
interest rates), we thought a mathematical comparison of rates vs. cost might
be helpful to some folks still unsure of how they’d like to proceed
Here’s our hypothetical scenario-
$600,000 purchase price
$60,000 down payment
$540,000 loan amount
5% interest rate
$2,898
Principal and Interest payment
Now, let’s take a look at what happens should values fall
10%, but rates rise by 1%-
$540,000 purchase price
$54,000 down payment
$486,000 loan amount
6% interest rate
$2913
Principal and Interest payment
As you can see, a lower price doesn’t help much for
affordability, if the cost to borrow has risen.
Although market trends are subject to change, a 6% 30 year
fixed doesn’t seem far-fetched, given the Fed’s stated plan of five rate hikes
between now and 2020; as a matter of fact, 6.5% doesn’t seem too far-fetched,
when looked at through that lens.
If you’re still on the fence, remember to consider the cost
to borrow when doing your math; in all likelihood, that may be increasing significantly,
soon.
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Me again. So, expect these changes & talk with me, + my lender(s), to decide if you want to quit paying rent today and start the benefits of owning your own home tomorrow.